The 28% You Leave: The Performance Review Math No One Shows You

Careers • Salary Negotiation • Performance Reviews • Workplace Strategy • Career Growth

By SmartStory Team • December 6, 2025

Your annual performance review is not a verdict. It is a negotiation most employees never enter. Research shows 28% of workers who asked for a raise got exactly what they requested. Another 38% got more than originally offered. Only 35% received nothing beyond the first number. The odds favor the asker nearly 2 to 1. Yet 55% of employees accept without countering. The silence costs an estimated $1.5 million in lifetime earnings.

What Are the Real Odds When You Ask for a Raise?

Pew Research shows 66% of workers who negotiate succeed. The rejection you rehearse in your head almost never happens. 94% of negotiated offers remain intact. No one gets fired for asking. Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows wages increased 3.9% in the 12 months ending June 2025. Inflation runs near 3%. Your standard raise delivers under 1% real gain. Exceptional performers who negotiate secure 10 to 20%.

Why Do Most Employees Never Ask?

We imagine catastrophe. Awkward silence. A damaged relationship. Retaliation that lives in our imagination, not in the data. Carnegie Mellon economist Linda Babcock's research reveals the real barrier: learned helplessness. Schools reward following rules, not negotiating them. By the first job, the muscle has atrophied. The irony? 73% of employers expect you to negotiate. Silence is not politeness. It signals you do not know your market value.

What Does Your Manager Actually Need From You?

Your boss has to defend the number too. They sit in budget meetings justifying headcount and compensation. Your documented accomplishments become their ammunition. Revenue generated. Costs saved. Problems solved. Quantified results give them a story for their boss. The performance review is not about convincing your manager you are good. They already know. It is about giving them the evidence to convince finance.

How Do You Prepare for the Raise Conversation?

Three months before review season, start a wins document. Every project completed. Every compliment received in email. Every metric moved. Research your market rate on salary databases. Know the range, not just the number. Frame the ask around contribution, not need. The sentence is simple: Based on my impact this year and current market rates, I would like to discuss adjusting my compensation to X. The preparation is the leverage.

A healthier workplace emerges when people can ask for fair pay openly, supported by preparation that brings calm instead of stress. Where employers and employees treat negotiation as a normal part of work, not a breach of loyalty. The raise you win today funds the life you are building tomorrow. Every percentage point you earn becomes the floor for every review that follows. Every successful conversation is proof that you can speak for your own value. You are not asking for charity. You are presenting evidence for a fair exchange of effort and reward.

Share this Smart Story if you believe preparation is the bridge between what you earn and what you are worth.


The 28% You Leave: Performance Review Raise Math | SmartStory